Want to dive into Scott Alexander's work and his thousands of blog posts? This fan website lets you sort and do semantic search through the whole codex. Enjoy!

See also Top Posts and All Tags.

Tag: malicious streetlight effect

Minutes:
Pick a custom range (minutes). Leave a field empty for no limit.
Blog:
Year:
All
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
1 posts found
Compact Mode
Save Reads
Feb 24, 2026
acx
Read on
6 min 885 words 575 comments 290 likes podcast (6 min)
Scott examines the tension between correcting false claims (like that crime is actually up but hidden) and being accused of deflecting from related legitimate concerns (like disorder), using his recent crime posts as an example. Longer summary
Scott discusses two opposing rhetorical fallacies: the 'malicious streetlight effect' (debunking a slightly different claim than what was actually made) and 'directional correctness' (making claims slightly stronger than evidence supports). He uses his recent crime statistics posts as an example, where he was accused of the streetlight fallacy—arguing crime is down when people's real concerns were about disorder and quality-of-life issues. Scott defends his posts by noting he was responding to real, influential arguments that crime rates are actually up but hidden by reporting bias or medical advances (citing neoreactionary blogs that claimed murder would be 40x higher without modern medicine). He acknowledges the tension: it's important to correct false claims, but doing so can look like deflection from legitimate related concerns. His solution is to explicitly acknowledge related topics upfront and promise to address them separately. Shorter summary
Per page:
Showing 1 to 1 of 1 results
Get these search results in an EPUB

Your filters match 1 posts.

Posts to include
Leave empty to keep the defaults. Range cannot exceed 500 posts.
Download now

Generates an EPUB right now and downloads it to your device.

Send to email

Generates an EPUB in the background and emails you a temporary download link.

Your email is not shared with anyone.

Email address