How to avoid getting lost reading Scott Alexander and his 1500+ blog posts? This unaffiliated fan website lets you sort and search through the whole codex. Enjoy!

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6 posts found
Oct 31, 2023
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Mantic Monday 10/30/23

24 min • 3,089 words • 169 comments • 62 likes • podcast
Scott Alexander reports on the Manifest prediction market conference, new developments in the field, and recent market activity on current events. Longer summary
Scott Alexander discusses the recent Manifest conference for prediction market enthusiasts, highlighting key issues such as regulatory challenges, potential applications in hiring, and the use of prediction markets in journalism. He also covers the launch of Manifold.love, a prediction market-based dating site, and analyzes recent prediction market activity on topics like the Gaza hospital explosion and various political events. The post concludes with updates on prediction market developments and related initiatives. Shorter summary
Apr 18, 2022
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Mantic Monday 4/18/22

18 min • 2,226 words • 463 comments • 45 likes • podcast
Scott reviews recent changes in prediction markets covering the Ukraine war, nuclear risk, AI development, and other current events. Longer summary
This post covers several prediction markets and forecasts related to current events. It discusses changes in Ukraine war predictions, nuclear risk estimates, AI development timelines, and other topics like Elon Musk's Twitter acquisition and the French presidential election. Scott analyzes discrepancies between different forecasts and markets, and explores potential reasons for changes in predictions. Shorter summary
Apr 26, 2021
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Mantic Monday: Predictions For 2021

9 min • 1,148 words • 257 comments • 49 likes • podcast
Scott Alexander shares his annual predictions for 2021, covering various topics from politics to personal life, with assigned probabilities for each prediction. Longer summary
Scott Alexander presents his annual predictions for the upcoming year, covering a wide range of topics including US politics, world events, economics, technology, COVID-19, community matters, personal life, work-related issues, and his blog. The post includes over 100 predictions with percentage probabilities assigned to each. Scott emphasizes that the purpose of these predictions is to calibrate his ability to assess his own knowledge and certainty, rather than to demonstrate expertise on the topics. Shorter summary
Jan 06, 2017
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Predictions For 2017

11 min • 1,346 words • 421 comments • podcast
Scott Alexander presents 105 predictions for 2017 on topics ranging from world events to personal life, each with an assigned probability. Longer summary
Scott Alexander makes 105 predictions for 2017 on various topics including world events, European politics, economics, the Trump administration, online communities, his work, and personal life. The predictions cover a wide range of subjects from geopolitical events to personal milestones, each assigned a probability. The post is structured as a numbered list, with predictions grouped into categories such as 'World Events', 'Europe', 'Economics', 'Trump Administration', 'Communities', 'Work', and 'Personal'. Shorter summary
Sep 28, 2014
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Even More Links For September 2014

8 min • 1,020 words • 150 comments • podcast
Scott shares a diverse collection of interesting links and news items from September 2014, covering topics from music genres to scientific research. Longer summary
This post is a collection of interesting links and news items from September 2014. Scott covers a wide range of topics, including music genres, ISIS, historical recordings, effective altruism, climate change, psychology research, government systems, media criticism, North Korea, Google Maps oddities, and various scientific and cultural curiosities. The tone is informative and sometimes humorous, providing brief commentary on each item. Shorter summary
Jul 25, 2014
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More Links For July 2014

12 min • 1,542 words • 175 comments • podcast
Scott Alexander shares a diverse collection of interesting news items and links from July 2014, covering topics from philosophy and politics to science and pop culture. Longer summary
This post is a collection of interesting links and news items from July 2014. Scott covers a wide range of topics, including a plagiarism scandal involving Slavoj Zizek, a man claiming unclaimed African land for his daughter, artificial language generation, diet research, a Tumblr convention, online drug trade, religious preferences in America, and various other cultural, scientific, and political items. The post has a light, sometimes humorous tone, and often includes Scott's personal commentary on the news items. Shorter summary