Scott Alexander makes belated predictions for 2015, covering world events and personal life with varying confidence levels. Longer summary

Scott Alexander belatedly makes predictions for 2015, covering world events and personal life. He explains his delay and sets out 35 predictions with confidence levels ranging from 50% to 99%. The predictions cover topics such as international conflicts, economic issues, US politics, and personal goals. Scott invites readers to suggest additional predictions. Shorter summary