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forecasting (88) AI safety (76) OpenAI (30) AI development (23) compute requirements (4) AI research (2) Tom Davidson (2) economic modeling (2)

Davidson On Takeoff Speeds

Scott Alexander reviews Tom Davidson's model predicting AI will progress from automating 20% of jobs to superintelligence in about 4 years, discussing its implications and comparisons to other AI forecasts.

acx
Jun 20, 2023 6,222 words 109 likes 421 comments Listen · 40 min Read Read
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