Scott presents Plan A, a detailed roadmap by Daniel Kokotajlo's AI Futures Project proposing a US-China regulatory agreement to safely advance AI to genius-level systems in the 2030s, solve alignment during a controlled pause, then achieve aligned superintelligence by 2040.
Longer summary
Scott introduces Plan A, a detailed roadmap created by Daniel Kokotajlo and the AI Futures Project for navigating the AI transition safely. The plan envisions a trustless regulatory agreement between the US and China built on controlling chip supply and auditing data centers, followed by a 'golden mean' approach where both countries rapidly advance to top-human-genius-level AI while pausing before superintelligence. During this pause in the 2030s, billions of genius-level AIs would solve alignment and other major problems while being kept in controlled environments, eventually leading to fully aligned superintelligence around 2040 that helps chart humanity's future. The post frames this as offering a positive vision that satisfies both safety concerns and accelerationist goals through triple-digit GDP growth and rapid problem-solving.
Shorter summary