Want to dive into Scott Alexander's work and his thousands of blog posts? This fan website lets you sort and do semantic search through the whole codex. Enjoy!

See also Top Posts and All Tags.

Or pick a range
–
min
Blog
Only
Year
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Tags
Browse all 5386
Include tag...
Exclude tag...
Links to
Filter by linked site (twitter, substack…)
Remember which posts I've read on this device
1 posts
Date
Length
Likes
Comments
forecasting (89) AI safety (77) cognitive bias (34) risk assessment (14) Ukraine-Russia war (4) probability theory (2) Biden (2) Putin (2)

Against The Generalized Anti-Caution Argument

Scott Alexander explains why dismissing warnings just because previous similar warnings were wrong is a dangerous fallacy, particularly for risks that naturally increase over time.

acx
Nov 22, 2024 2,033 words 397 likes 499 comments Listen · 12 min Read Read
Per page:
Showing 1 to 1 of 1 results
Get these search results in an EPUB

Your filters match 1 posts.

Posts to include
–
Leave empty to keep the defaults. Range cannot exceed 500 posts.
Download now

Generates an EPUB right now and downloads it to your device.

Send to email

Generates an EPUB in the background and emails you a temporary download link.

Your email is not shared with anyone.

Email address

To send to your Kindle, just use this link.