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Eliezer Yudkowsky (46) Bayesian reasoning (27) epistemology (17) probability (16) argument evaluation (5) creationism (5) confidence levels (2)

Confidence levels inside and outside an argument

Scott distinguishes between an argument's internal confidence level and our external confidence in that argument, showing that extremely high probability claims should be moderated by the baseline probability that the argument itself is flawed.

lw
Dec 16, 2010 1,981 words 248 likes 192 comments Read Read Opened Opened
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