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forecasting (88) prediction markets (86) book review contest (25) gambling (6) Manifold (4) open-source AI (3)

Mantic Monday 5/22/23

Scott Alexander discusses recent events in prediction markets, including a costly prank on Manifold, debt ceiling forecasts, a study on long-term predictions, and a high-profile hyperinflation bet.

acx
May 23, 2023 4,451 words 88 likes 149 comments Listen · 30 min Read Read
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