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study critique (270)
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education (93)
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debate (89)
forecasting (89)
politics (89)
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science (85)
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domain: slatestarcodex.com (1127 posts)
domain: wikipedia.org (896 posts)
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2 posts
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forecasting (89) AI safety (79) cognitive bias (59) risk assessment (15) Ukraine-Russia war (4) probability theory (2) Biden (2) Putin (2)

Against The Generalized Anti-Caution Argument

Scott Alexander explains why dismissing warnings just because previous similar warnings were wrong is a dangerous fallacy, particularly for risks that naturally increase over time.

acx
Nov 22, 2024 2,033 words 397 likes 499 comments Listen · 12 min Read Read
nationalism (5) international law (4) cultural identity (3) Putin (2) secession (2) Ukraine-Russia conflict (2) self-determination (2)

Who Gets Self-Determination?

Scott Alexander argues for a universal right to self-determination, critiquing the current paradigm of determining which groups qualify as 'peoples'.

acx
Mar 30, 2022 3,044 words 176 likes 972 comments Listen · 23 min Read Read
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