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Scott Alexander reviews a paper that claims to solve the Fermi Paradox by using probability distributions instead of point estimates in Drake Equation calculations.
A fictional story about superintelligent AIs negotiating across time, followed by a future scene where a cryptic AI deity gives a puzzling answer about the Fermi Paradox.
Scott Alexander argues against several popular Great Filter explanations, emphasizing that the true Filter must be more consistent and thorough than common x-risks or alien interventions.
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