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Pascal's Mugging (2)
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study critique (271)
book review (224)
AI (113)
economics (105)
effective altruism (105)
education (93)
creative writing (92)
debate (90)
forecasting (89)
politics (89)
prediction markets (89)
science (85)
AI safety (80)
media criticism (76)
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rationality (76)
psychiatry (73)
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mental health (69)
highlights from the comments (68)
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2 posts
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effective altruism (105) rationality (76) AI risk (49) existential risk (21) probability (16) animal rights (4) cause prioritization (4) charity evaluation (3) Pascal's Mugging (2)

Stop Adding Zeroes

Scott Alexander critiques Dylan Matthews' argument against prioritizing existential risk reduction, arguing that Matthews misuses probabilities and that his logic could also undermine other effective altruist causes.

ssc
Aug 12, 2015 2,492 words 0 likes 427 comments Read Read Opened Opened
rationality (76) cognitive bias (59) Eliezer Yudkowsky (46) self-deception (14) moral reasoning (6) preferences (5) Trivers' theory of self-deception (3) sentencing disparities (2) Pascal's Mugging (2) consistency (2) reflective equilibrium (2)

Tendencies in reflective equilibrium

Scott explores how people's moral intuitions often conflict and can be reconciled through reflective equilibrium, using the example of inconsistent punishment judgments for theft by people of different socioeconomic classes.

lw
Jul 20, 2011 1,298 words 52 likes 71 comments Read Read Opened Opened
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