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study critique (270)
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domain: slatestarcodex.com (1127 posts)
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2 posts
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AI (112) prediction markets (88) cryptocurrency (30) Mantic Monday (22) AI regulation (17) Anthropic (16) Manifold Markets (12) Polymarket (10) Pentagon (2) supply chain risk (2) Iran (2)

Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

Scott examines prediction markets on Anthropic's Pentagon troubles (minimal impact expected), the 2026 midterms (Democratic wins likely despite voting law concerns), groundhog weather predictions (mostly broken clocks), Iran conflict outcomes (under 50% regime change), and introduces MNX, a new AI-focused futures exchange.

acx
Mar 3, 2026 5,499 words 230 likes 303 comments Listen · 31 min Read Read
AI safety (79) OpenAI (31) Anthropic (16) AI policy (12) Trump administration (6) Google (6) AI companies (5) public opinion (5) Dario Amodei (5) autonomous weapons (3) Pentagon (2) mass surveillance (2) Pete Hegseth (2) supply chain risk (2)

The Pentagon Threatens Anthropic

Scott analyzes the Pentagon's threatening tactics against Anthropic for refusing to remove Usage Policy restrictions from their contract, arguing this represents unprecedented authoritarian overreach and supporting Anthropic's stance against mass surveillance.

acx
Feb 25, 2026 2,929 words 569 likes 720 comments Listen · 24 min Read Read
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