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AI (112) prediction markets (86) cryptocurrency (30) Mantic Monday (22) AI regulation (16) Anthropic (15) Manifold Markets (12) Polymarket (10) Pentagon (2) Iran (2) supply chain risk (2)

Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

Scott examines prediction markets on Anthropic's Pentagon troubles (minimal impact expected), the 2026 midterms (Democratic wins likely despite voting law concerns), groundhog weather predictions (mostly broken clocks), Iran conflict outcomes (under 50% regime change), and introduces MNX, a new AI-focused futures exchange.

acx
Mar 3, 2026 5,499 words 230 likes 303 comments Listen · 31 min Read Read
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