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Tag: falsifiability

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2 posts found
Feb 21, 2025
acx
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40 min 6,142 words 615 comments 102 likes podcast (37 min)
Scott responds to comments and criticisms of his post about Tegmark's Mathematical Universe Hypothesis and its implications for arguments about God's existence, addressing technical points about Boltzmann brains, simplicity measures, and philosophical objections. Longer summary
Scott Alexander reviews and responds to comments on his previous post about Tegmark's Mathematical Universe Hypothesis. He addresses technical criticisms about Boltzmann brains and probability measures, explains why the theory requires simplicity weighting, and defends his claim that it defeats many arguments for God's existence. He engages with philosophical objections about falsifiability and originality, arguing that falsifiability is not the only way to evaluate theories and dismissing claims that the ideas are just reinventing ancient philosophy. Shorter summary
Nov 06, 2019
ssc
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23 min 3,505 words 438 comments podcast (27 min)
Scott Alexander argues that non-empirical reasoning, based on principles like simplicity and elegance, is a necessary and legitimate part of scientific practice, even for evaluating seemingly untestable theories. Longer summary
Scott Alexander discusses the role of non-empirical arguments in science, challenging the view that untestable theories are inherently unscientific. He argues that even in cases where direct empirical testing is impossible, scientists use principles like simplicity and elegance (often formalized as Occam's Razor) to evaluate competing theories. Scott uses examples ranging from paleontology vs. creationism to multiverse theories in physics to demonstrate that this type of reasoning is both necessary and legitimate in scientific practice. He concludes that while there may be debates about the best way to formalize or apply these principles, it's crucial to recognize that some form of non-empirical reasoning is an inescapable part of the scientific process. Shorter summary