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forecasting (89) prediction markets (87) IQ (33) demographics (18) contest (14) probability (9) superforecasters (6) wisdom of crowds (4)

Who Predicted 2022?

Scott Alexander analyzes results from a 2022 prediction contest, discussing top performers and methods for improving forecast accuracy.

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Jan 24, 2023 3,720 words 101 likes 258 comments Listen · 23 min Read Read
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