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Tag: absurdity heuristic

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3 posts found
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Aug 04, 2022
acx
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13 min 1,990 words 303 comments 89 likes podcast (16 min)
Scott Alexander examines the use of absurdity arguments, reflecting on his critique of Neom and offering strategies to balance absurdity heuristics with careful reasoning. Longer summary
Scott Alexander reflects on his previous post mocking the Neom project, considering whether his use of the absurdity heuristic was justified. He explores the challenges of relying on absurdity arguments, acknowledging that everything ultimately bottoms out in such arguments. The post discusses when it's appropriate to use absurdity heuristics in communication and personal reasoning, and offers strategies for avoiding absurdity bias. These include calibration training, social epistemology, occasional deep dives into fact-checking, and examining why beliefs come to our attention. Scott concludes that while there's no perfect solution, these approaches can help balance the use of absurdity arguments with more rigorous thinking. Shorter summary
Jan 11, 2018
ssc
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10 min 1,512 words 626 comments podcast (11 min)
Scott Alexander examines self-serving bias and status quo defense using Oregon's gas station law change, arguing for better rational debate skills to navigate societal changes. Longer summary
This post discusses the self-serving bias through the lens of Oregon's recent law allowing self-service gas stations in some areas, which sparked outrage among some Oregonians. Scott Alexander uses this example to explore how people tend to defend the status quo and view changes as potentially catastrophic, even when those changes are normal elsewhere. He extends this idea to various fields, including medicine, child-rearing practices, and social norms. The post argues that we often rely on intuitions about absurdity to make judgments, but these intuitions can vary greatly between cultures and even states. Scott suggests that this reliance on intuition is concerning because it means that if something loses its 'protective coating of absurdity,' we must resort to rational debate to defend it - a process our society isn't particularly good at. He concludes by encouraging readers to apply the same level of scrutiny to their own beliefs that they would expect from Oregonians questioning their gas station laws. Shorter summary
May 27, 2013
ssc
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6 min 822 words 28 comments
Scott Alexander rewrites classic fairy tales to illustrate transhumanist and rationalist concepts, each ending with a moral lesson related to these philosophies. Longer summary
Scott Alexander presents a series of reimagined fairy tales with transhumanist and rationalist morals. Each story is a twist on a classic tale, concluding with a lesson related to concepts like exponential growth, decision theory, artificial intelligence risks, and self-modification. The stories are brief and satirical, using familiar narratives to illustrate complex ideas from rationalist and transhumanist thought. Shorter summary
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