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AI (112) forecasting (89) prediction markets (88) Metaculus (34) climate change (33) Mantic Monday (22) Manifold Markets (12) Russia-Ukraine conflict (2)

Mantic Monday: Ukraine Cube Manifold

Scott Alexander analyzes prediction markets for the Ukraine crisis, introduces Manifold Markets, and discusses recent Metaculus questions and forecasting initiatives.

acx
Feb 14, 2022 2,169 words 40 likes 204 comments Listen · 21 min Read Read
forecasting (89) prediction markets (88) Metaculus (34) Mantic Monday (22) Russia-Ukraine conflict (2)

Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats

Scott discusses recent developments in prediction markets, including new platforms, features, and current market predictions on various topics.

acx
Dec 27, 2021 2,603 words 41 likes 95 comments Listen · 24 min Read Read
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