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confounding factors (4)
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study critique (272)
book review (225)
AI (113)
economics (105)
effective altruism (105)
debate (93)
education (93)
creative writing (92)
forecasting (91)
politics (89)
prediction markets (89)
science (85)
AI safety (83)
media criticism (76)
neuroscience (76)
rationality (76)
psychiatry (73)
psychology (72)
mental health (69)
highlights from the comments (68)
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More Confounders

Scott examines studies linking sleeping pills to increased mortality, highlighting a new study that found no link after adjusting for 300 confounders, potentially challenging the validity of less thorough studies.

ssc
Jun 24, 2019 1,928 words 0 likes 166 comments Listen · 15 min Read Read Opened Opened

Beware Regional Scatterplots

Scott Alexander cautions against drawing strong conclusions from regional scatterplots, demonstrating how apparent correlations can be artifacts of regional clustering rather than true relationships.

ssc
Apr 2, 2016 1,168 words 0 likes 199 comments Read Read Opened Opened

Guns And States

Scott Alexander examines the relationship between gun ownership and homicide rates, finding a likely causal link but noting it's not the main factor in the US's high murder rate.

ssc
Jan 6, 2016 4,871 words 0 likes 489 comments Read Read Opened Opened

Stop Confounding Yourself! Stop Confounding Yourself!

Scott criticizes a study linking childhood bullying to negative adult outcomes, arguing that its method of controlling for confounders is inadequate and proposing alternative explanations for the correlation.

ssc
Apr 26, 2014 1,299 words 0 likes 92 comments Read Read Opened Opened
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