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human vs AI performance (2)
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study critique (270)
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prediction markets (88) AI alignment (39) Metaculus (34) AI capabilities (22) decision-making (16) AI policy (12) AI forecasting (11) Kalshi (9) superforecasting (8) Philip Tetlock (4) FutureSearch (3) Preseen (2) financial markets (2) human vs AI performance (2)

The AI Superforecasters Are Here

Scott examines the rise of AI superforecasters that now match or exceed top human forecasters, explores how they work and their current performance, and analyzes implications for decision-making, prediction markets, and the future role of AI opinions.

acx
Jul 2, 2026 5,984 words 583 likes 331 comments Listen · 42 min Read Read
study critique (270) highlights from the comments (68) AI capabilities (22) AI progress (15) human vs AI performance (2) tourism (2)

Highlights From The Comments On AI Geoguessr

Scott examines reader tests and discussions of AI's GeoGuessr abilities, revealing that AIs perform best with tourist locations and are roughly on par with human professionals.

acx
May 8, 2025 2,728 words 96 likes 99 comments Listen · 17 min Read Read
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