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2 posts
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AI (112) forecasting (89) prediction markets (87) Metaculus (34) Mantic Monday (22) Manifold Markets (12) Kalshi (9) CFTC (8) PredictIt (5)

Mantic Monday 8/15/22

Scott Alexander examines the shutdown of PredictIt and its implications for the prediction market industry, while also highlighting new developments and forecasts in the field.

acx
Aug 16, 2022 3,693 words 62 likes 162 comments Listen · 31 min Read Read
forecasting (89) prediction markets (87) Metaculus (34) cryptocurrency (30) Mantic Monday (22) AI progress (15) Ukraine war (4) ACX Prediction Contest (4)

Mantic Monday 3/21/22

Scott Alexander updates readers on Ukraine war predictions, Insight Prediction's challenges, ACX 2022 Prediction Contest results, and various prediction market developments.

acx
Mar 21, 2022 2,282 words 29 likes 92 comments Listen · 22 min Read Read
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