Scott Alexander evaluates his predictions about the Trump presidency, finding he performed about average overall with some notable successes and failures. Longer summary

Scott Alexander reviews and grades his predictions about Donald Trump's presidency, covering topics from Trump's base diversity to the likelihood of a coup. He analyzes his successes and failures, discussing his performance on prediction markets and his overall accuracy compared to average pundits. Scott concludes that he did about average in his predictions, with some notable successes in race-related predictions and on prediction markets, but also made mistakes in overestimating Trump's competence and underestimating his continued support from Republicans. Shorter summary

A collection of interesting links from April 2014 covering science, culture, and quirky news, with Scott's brief commentary on each. Longer summary

This is a links post containing various interesting stories and studies from around the web. The post covers a wide range of topics, from quirky news (like a Korean company buying land to potentially clone mammoths) to serious scientific research (like studies on medical resident work hours and genetic factors in obesity). Scott presents each link with brief commentary, often adding his own analysis or humorous observations. The tone is casual and engaging, mixing serious academic topics with lighter cultural observations. Shorter summary