Scott analyzes how Trump's damaging tariffs are not just a personal quirk but a predictable result of right-wing populism's strategy of bypassing institutional checks, arguing this makes the left a better starting point for reform despite its own flaws. Longer summary

Scott argues that Trump's tariffs are not just a personal quirk but a predictable consequence of right-wing populist ideology, which seeks to bypass institutional checks and balances. He explains how populism's strategy of circumventing institutions and cultivating loyalty makes it impossible to stop bad policies when they arise. The post compares this to how the institutional left would handle similar situations, uses the current tariff situation as evidence that the populist approach is more dangerous, and concludes that the left, despite its own problems, might be a better starting point for reform. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander examines which US political party has become more extreme faster, concluding Democrats have moved further left on policy since 1994, while results vary for other aspects of extremism. Longer summary

Scott Alexander analyzes the question of which political party in the US has become more extreme faster, breaking it down into four sub-questions. He concludes that Democrats have moved further left on policy positions since 1994 than Republicans have moved right, based on survey data and first principles. On divergence from ordinary Americans, he calls it a tie. Regarding ideological purity, Republicans show more polarization in Congress, but it's unclear for average voters. Scott avoids declaring a winner on which party has become crazier in worldview and messaging. He argues the policy position change is most important, supporting the meme that Democrats have moved more extreme, while noting other interpretations could point to Republicans. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander examines the evolution of online culture wars from atheism to feminism to race, analyzing the dynamics of these shifts and speculating on future trends. Longer summary

Scott Alexander traces the evolution of online culture wars from New Atheism through feminism to the current focus on race, examining how each movement rose and fell in popularity. He analyzes the dynamics of these shifts using concepts like fashion cycles and signaling theory, and speculates on the future trajectory of culture war topics. The post explores how terms like 'SJW' and 'woke' impacted discourse, the rise and potential decline of New Socialism, and draws parallels to longer-term cycles of mainstream institutional values. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander reviews 'A Brief History of Neoliberalism', finding it engaging but flawed in its economic analysis and predictions. Longer summary

Scott Alexander reviews David Harvey's 'A Brief History of Neoliberalism', a book that critiques the rise of neoliberal economic policies since the 1970s. The review highlights Harvey's argument that neoliberalism was a deliberate project to restore class power, rather than a necessary economic reform. Scott finds the book engaging but criticizes its lack of depth in economic explanations and its tendency to frame events dramatically without sufficient evidence. He notes that while Harvey makes some interesting points, many of his predictions about the future of neoliberalism have not come to pass. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander examines different models of social class in America, exploring their implications for understanding society and politics. Longer summary

Scott Alexander discusses various perspectives on social class in America, focusing on the distinction between economic and social class. He summarizes and compares several models of class structure, including those by Siderea, Michael Church, and Unqualified Reservations. The post explores how these models relate to political views, cultural signifiers, and social mobility. Scott also reflects on how class intersects with other factors like politics, race, and education, and considers the implications of class analysis for understanding social phenomena and policy outcomes. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander examines his sudden shift towards conservatism, proposing it may be part of a broader trend of intellectuals differentiating themselves from mainstream leftism. Longer summary

Scott Alexander explores the concept of fashion and political beliefs using a cellular automaton model, then reflects on his sudden shift towards conservatism. He proposes that this shift might be due to a counter-signaling hierarchy, where intellectuals differentiate themselves from mainstream leftism by adopting more conservative or libertarian views. The post discusses various potential explanations for this shift, including stress, exposure to neoreactionary ideas, and a desire to avoid being associated with certain leftist positions. Scott concludes by hoping that this pendulum-like movement between political positions might lead to gradual learning and improvement over time. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander creates a political quiz to distinguish between object-level and meta-level thinking, based on consistent application of principles across different scenarios. Longer summary

Scott Alexander presents a political spectrum quiz designed to differentiate between 'Object-Level Thinkers' and 'Meta-Level Thinkers'. The quiz consists of pairs of questions on controversial political issues, where each pair tests the same principle but in different contexts. Participants are scored based on how consistently they apply principles across different scenarios. The post includes 12 questions (6 pairs), scoring instructions, and commentary on the quiz's inspiration and design. Scott also invites readers to suggest improvements or additional questions. Shorter summary