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forecasting (89) prediction markets (87) decision making (17) bias (17) regulation (16) superforecasting (8) gambling (6) trust (6) market manipulation (4)

Prediction Market FAQ

Scott Alexander presents a comprehensive FAQ on prediction markets, arguing for their accuracy, canonicity, and potential to solve the 'crisis of trust' in society.

acx
Dec 20, 2022 12,964 words 167 likes 317 comments Listen · 77 min Read Read
prediction markets (87) AI safety (77) neuroscience (71) ethics (52) decision-making (15) incentives (6) betting (5) information markets (2)

Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets

Scott Alexander explores different types of prediction markets, their uses, limitations, and ethical considerations in decision-making and information gathering.

acx
Mar 28, 2022 3,064 words 77 likes 115 comments Listen · 26 min Read Read
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