Scott updates his stance on marijuana legalization based on new data showing increased traffic accidents, but remains uncertain due to the complexity of the issue.
Longer summary
Scott Alexander revisits his previous analysis of marijuana legalization, focusing on its effects on road traffic accidents. New studies show a 5-6% increase in car crashes and fatalities in states with legalized marijuana, contradicting his earlier prediction of a decrease. This shifts his assessment from slightly positive to slightly negative. However, he emphasizes the weakness of the math and the many assumptions involved. The post also considers other factors like people's enjoyment of marijuana, its comparison to alcohol and SSRIs, potential cancer risks, and tax implications. Scott concludes without a firm position, acknowledging the complexity of the issue.
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