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5 posts
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AI (112) forecasting (89) prediction markets (87) FDA (37) pharmaceutical industry (25) healthcare policy (21) clinical trials (16) drug approval (10) drug regulation (8)

AI Superforecasting Should Transform The FDA

Josh Morrison argues that AI superforecasting could transform FDA drug approval by replacing subjective expert judgment with objective, quantitative predictions about drug safety and efficacy.

acx
Sep 16, 2026 1,541 words 134 likes 179 comments Read Read
medical research (52) FDA (37) Trump (22) healthcare policy (21) clinical trials (16) NIH (4) organ donation (3) healthcare reform (2)

1DaySooner's Trump II Health Policy Proposals

Scott Alexander and 1DaySooner outline potential positive health policy initiatives that could emerge under three key Trump administration health appointees: Jim O'Neill, Marty Makary, and Jay Bhattacharya.

acx
Feb 7, 2025 1,950 words 234 likes 269 comments Listen · 12 min Read Read
effective altruism (100) scientific research (64) medical research (52) technology development (6) grants (4) policy advocacy (4)

ACX Grants Results 2024

Scott Alexander announces the winners of ACX Grants 2024, covering a diverse range of projects from medical research to policy advocacy.

acx
Feb 10, 2024 4,390 words 145 likes 219 comments Listen · 24 min Read Read
effective altruism (100) forecasting (89) animal welfare (21) ACX Grants (16) philanthropy (14) grant-making (10) science funding (3) biosecurity (2)

ACX Grants Results

Scott Alexander announces the results of the ACX Grants program, awarding funding to various projects and individuals across different fields.

acx
Dec 28, 2021 6,732 words 229 likes 346 comments Listen · 44 min Read Read
COVID-19 (53) medical research (52) much more than you wanted to know (30) public health (16) risk assessment (14) vaccination (5) psychosomatic illness (4) Long COVID (3) pediatric health (2)

Long COVID: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander examines the current research on Long COVID, analyzing its prevalence, symptoms, and potential impacts to assess personal risk and societal implications.

acx
Sep 2, 2021 7,628 words 101 likes 259 comments Listen · 56 min Read Read
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