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prediction markets (87) AI alignment (37) cryptocurrency (30) AI behavior (9) AI consciousness (8) AI agency (3) AI autonomy (2) Moltbook (2)

Moltbook: After The First Weekend

Scott examines Moltbook (an AI social network) to determine if AI behavior is 'real' by analyzing external causes and effects, finding that while AIs create impressive projects, their short time horizons prevent sustained organization, though this may change as capabilities improve.

acx
Feb 2, 2026 9,138 words 325 likes 320 comments Listen · 121 min Read Read
economics (103) forecasting (89) technology (63) COVID-19 (53) US politics (32) predictions (15) ACX blog (15)

Predictions For 2022

Scott Alexander shares his predictions for 2022 on various topics, comments on predictions from other sources, and announces a prediction contest for readers.

acx
Feb 1, 2022 2,236 words 42 likes 179 comments Listen · 23 min Read Read
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