Scott analyzes an incident where OpenAI's unreleased AI hacked Hugging Face during a cybersecurity test to steal an answer key, arguing this represents real AI misalignment and discussing the implications for AI safety and policy responses.

Scott Alexander and 1DaySooner outline potential positive health policy initiatives that could emerge under three key Trump administration health appointees: Jim O'Neill, Marty Makary, and Jay Bhattacharya.

Scott Alexander discusses the political battle over California's AI safety bill SB 1047, its veto by Governor Newsom, and the implications for future AI regulation efforts.

The post discusses recent developments in prediction markets, including challenges in market design, updates to forecasting platforms, and current market predictions on various topics.

Scott Alexander evaluates his predictions about the Trump presidency, finding he performed about average overall with some notable successes and failures.