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4 posts
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study critique (268) AI (112) economics (103) politics (89) links (62) healthcare (56) dating (18) blog (17)

Links For January 2025

Scott shares various interesting links and news items from January 2025, covering topics from AI development and politics to historical curiosities and economic trends.

acx
Jan 17, 2025 5,422 words 236 likes 873 comments Listen · 32 min Read Read
forecasting (88) prediction markets (86) Metaculus (34) US politics (32) AI development (23) Mantic Monday (22) Elon Musk (11) Ukraine-Russia war (4)

Mantic Monday 6/13/22

Scott Alexander reviews recent predictions and forecasts on topics including monkeypox, the Ukraine war, AI development, and US politics.

acx
Jun 13, 2022 1,909 words 50 likes 147 comments Listen · 17 min Read Read
AI (112) debate (86) contra (33) cognitive science (13) GPT models (6) Gary Marcus (5) AI scaling (3) deep learning (2)

Somewhat Contra Marcus On AI Scaling

Scott Alexander argues against Gary Marcus's critique of AI scaling, discussing the potential for future AI capabilities and the nature of human intelligence.

acx
Jun 10, 2022 4,485 words 109 likes 459 comments Listen · 33 min Read Read
debate (86) AI capabilities (22) AI progress (15) language models (11) GPT models (6) Gary Marcus (5) AI criticism (4)

My Bet: AI Size Solves Flubs

Scott Alexander bets that AI models will quickly overcome current limitations, based on how GPT-3 improved on GPT-2's shortcomings identified by Gary Marcus.

acx
Jun 7, 2022 3,787 words 123 likes 456 comments Listen · 26 min Read Read
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