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personal goals (4)
study critique (270)
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effective altruism (105)
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study critique (270)
book review (222)
AI (112)
economics (105)
effective altruism (105)
education (93)
creative writing (91)
debate (90)
forecasting (89)
politics (89)
prediction markets (88)
science (85)
AI safety (79)
media criticism (76)
neuroscience (76)
rationality (76)
psychiatry (73)
psychology (72)
mental health (69)
highlights from the comments (68)
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domain: slatestarcodex.com (1127 posts)
domain: wikipedia.org (896 posts)
domain: astralcodexten.com (560 posts)
domain: lesswrong.com (491 posts)
domain: twitter.com / x.com (445 posts)
domain: nih.gov (333 posts)
domain: reddit.com (321 posts)
domain: amazon.com (276 posts)
domain: substack.com (268 posts)
domain: google.com (235 posts)
domain: nytimes.com (229 posts)
domain: wordpress.com (175 posts)
domain: tumblr.com (159 posts)
domain: vox.com (159 posts)
domain: washingtonpost.com (143 posts)
domain: marginalrevolution.com (140 posts)
domain: sciencedirect.com (131 posts)
domain: theguardian.com (130 posts)
subreddit: slatestarcodex (130 posts)
domain: youtube.com (128 posts)
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4 posts
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Length
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Comments
economics (105) technology (64) US politics (32) predictions (15) US elections (10) Slate Star Codex (6) personal goals (4) coronavirus (2)

Predictions For 2020

Scott Alexander shares his 100 predictions for 2020, covering topics from coronavirus to personal goals, each with an assigned probability.

ssc
Apr 29, 2020 1,086 words 0 likes 436 comments Listen · 11 min Read Read Opened Opened
economics (105) forecasting (89) technology (64) US politics (32) predictions (15) self-improvement (9) world events (7) Bitcoin (6) personal goals (4) Brexit (4)

Predictions For 2019

Scott Alexander shares his 118 predictions for 2019, covering politics, economics, technology, and personal matters, with assigned probability percentages for each prediction.

ssc
Jan 25, 2019 1,207 words 0 likes 97 comments Listen · 14 min Read Read Opened Opened
forecasting (89) rationalist community (47) US politics (32) cryptocurrency (30) predictions (15) SpaceX (5) personal goals (4) SSC blog (3)

Predictions For 2018

Scott Alexander shares his 100 predictions for 2018 on topics like politics, economics, technology, and personal goals, with assigned probabilities for each.

ssc
Feb 6, 2018 1,435 words 0 likes 302 comments Listen · 13 min Read Read Opened Opened
US politics (32) calibration (23) prediction (16) world events (7) personal goals (4)

(Late) Predictions for 2015

Scott Alexander makes belated predictions for 2015, covering world events and personal life with varying confidence levels.

ssc
Jun 13, 2015 615 words 0 likes 211 comments Read Read Opened Opened
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