Scott Alexander announces the winners of the 2019 Adversarial Collaboration Contest and reviews all entries, praising their strengths and noting their impact on readers. Longer summary

Scott Alexander announces the winners of the 2019 Adversarial Collaboration Contest. The winning entry is about calorie restriction and aging by Adrian Liberman and Calvin Reese, with a close second on the ethics of eating meat by David G and Froolow. Scott praises both entries for their different strengths: the calorie restriction piece for its focused approach on a factual question, and the meat ethics piece for its comprehensive review of arguments. He notes that the meat ethics collaboration had a significant impact on readers' eating habits. Scott then briefly reviews the other entries, discussing their strengths and weaknesses. He concludes by explaining the prize distribution and his decision not to run the contest next year, citing various challenges. Shorter summary

The post argues that automation and AI are unlikely to cause a sustained economic crisis, as new jobs will be created to replace those automated, though the benefits may primarily go to capital owners. Longer summary

This post discusses the potential economic impact of automation and AI, addressing concerns about job displacement and economic crisis. The authors argue that while automation will continue to change the job market, it is unlikely to lead to a sustained economic crisis in the foreseeable future. They examine historical trends in employment, current technological capabilities, and economic theories to support their argument. The post concludes that new jobs will continue to be created as old ones are automated, maintaining overall employment levels, though the benefits of automation may flow primarily to capital owners. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander reviews 'Inventing The Future', critiquing its communist strategy while acknowledging its utopian vision. Longer summary

Scott Alexander reviews 'Inventing The Future', a book by Nick Srnicek and Alex Williams that outlines a plan for achieving a postcapitalist world. The book critiques 'folk politics' on the left, advocates for a Mont Pelerin Society-like approach to spreading communist ideas, and proposes a platform of full automation, universal basic income, reduced work weeks, and diminished work ethic. Scott finds the book's arguments often unconvincing and its intended audience unclear, but respects the authors' utopian vision despite disagreeing with their paradigm. Shorter summary

Scott summarizes and responds to comments on his technological unemployment article, covering various debates, critiques, and potential explanations for observed trends. Longer summary

This post summarizes comments on Scott's previous article about technological unemployment. It covers various perspectives on the topic, including debates about the pace of technological change, the impact of women entering the workforce, the role of disability benefits, issues with data interpretation, historical comparisons, and potential future scenarios. Scott also addresses some critiques of his original analysis and acknowledges areas where further research is needed. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander examines evidence for technological unemployment, finding little current impact but signs of 'technological underemployment' pushing workers to lower-skill jobs. Longer summary

Scott Alexander examines the arguments for and against technological unemployment, analyzing labor force participation rates, manufacturing job losses, and economic data to determine if automation is currently causing significant job displacement. He concludes that while there's little evidence of technological unemployment happening right now, there are signs of 'technological underemployment' where automation is pushing workers from middle-skill to lower-skill jobs. The long-term impacts remain uncertain, with economists divided on whether this is a temporary adjustment or a new normal. Shorter summary

Scott Alexander speculates on a future 'ascended economy' where AI-run corporations dominate, discussing potential implications and risks of such a system. Longer summary

This post explores the concept of an 'ascended economy', where economic activity becomes increasingly detached from human control. Scott Alexander speculates on a future where corporations are run by algorithms, workers are replaced by robots, and even investment decisions are made by AI. He discusses the potential implications of such a system, including the formation of self-sustaining economic loops that don't involve humans, the difficulty of regulating AI-run corporations, and the risks of goal misalignment in superintelligent economic entities. While acknowledging that this scenario is highly speculative and unlikely to occur exactly as described, Scott uses it to explore important questions about AI safety, economic evolution, and the long-term consequences of automation. Shorter summary

Scott examines the feeling of being a burden in depression, arguing that society owes individuals support and suggesting a need for new ways to find meaning beyond traditional 'contribution'. Longer summary

Scott discusses the concept of feeling like a burden, a common theme among suicidal patients. He explores how this feeling relates to depression and societal expectations, and argues that society owes individuals support due to how it has changed the environment humans evolved in. The post critiques the idea that people must 'contribute' to have worth, suggesting we need a new value system as automation increases. Scott proposes basic income as a potential solution and advises patients to focus on less tangible ways of finding meaning. Shorter summary