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study critique (270)
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11 posts
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Constitutional AI: RLHF On Steroids

Scott Alexander examines Constitutional AI, a new technique for training more ethical AI models, discussing its effectiveness, implications, and limitations for AI alignment.

acx
May 8, 2023 1,946 words 186 likes 365 comments Listen · 14 min Read Read

Why Do I Suck?

Scott Alexander explores reasons why some readers think his writing quality has declined, addressing various factors from idea exhaustion to intellectual progression.

acx
Feb 2, 2022 3,437 words 426 likes 673 comments Listen · 24 min Read Read

Grading My 2021 Predictions

Scott Alexander evaluates his 2021 predictions, analyzing his performance across various confidence levels and comparing his results to other forecasters and prediction markets.

acx
Jan 24, 2022 1,559 words 86 likes 133 comments Listen · 17 min Read Read

2020 Predictions: Calibration Results

Scott Alexander evaluates his 2020 predictions, finding he was generally overconfident, and discusses the implications for his prediction-making process.

acx
Apr 5, 2021 1,892 words 61 likes 164 comments Listen · 17 min Read Read

Mantic Monday: Judging April COVID Predictions

Scott Alexander evaluates the accuracy of COVID-19 predictions made by himself and two others in April 2020, discussing the results and their implications for forecasting.

acx
Feb 23, 2021 2,184 words 63 likes 178 comments Listen · 18 min Read Read

Mistakes

Scott Alexander maintains a list of significant mistakes in his blog posts, providing corrections and updates in reverse chronological order.

acx
Sep 29, 2020 6,476 words 73 likes 0 comments Read Read

Addendum to “Targeting Meritocracy”

Scott Alexander revisits his 'Targeting Meritocracy' post, realizing the disagreements stemmed from different fundamental perspectives: mistake theory vs. conflict theory.

ssc
Feb 14, 2020 322 words 0 likes 524 comments Listen · 4 min Read Read

My Plagiarism

Scott Alexander discusses unintentional plagiarism in his writing, reflecting on how writers blend their influences at various levels of recognition.

ssc
Feb 21, 2019 489 words 0 likes 53 comments Listen · 5 min Read Read

2018 Predictions: Calibration Results

Scott Alexander evaluates his 2018 predictions, analyzing his accuracy and discussing factors that affected his performance.

ssc
Jan 22, 2019 1,852 words 0 likes 123 comments Listen · 21 min Read Read

Don’t Be An Asch-Hole

Scott Alexander explores a thought experiment based on the Asch conformity experiment to examine the strength and flexibility of personal beliefs and societal norms.

ssc
Jun 5, 2014 1,266 words 0 likes 317 comments Read Read

Things I Learned By Spending Five Thousand Years In An Alternate Universe

Scott Alexander reflects on 13 years of participating in Micras, a complex geopolitical role-playing game, discussing its impact on his life and the lessons learned about leadership and human behavior.

ssc
Apr 15, 2013 2,651 words 0 likes 46 comments Read Read
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